2009 年中是《暴风雨前的宁静〉
2010-2011年景气会更加萧条
2010下半年， 黄金也会暴跌
2012-2017年中 股市才有可能反弹
While we are talking about the reviving of Economy in the world and Malaysia, that is a book authored by Harry S. Dent , the renowned long term economic trend forecaster, he predicted as below sometimes in April 2009 :
1. The bubble prosperity will be end soon. 2nd half of 2009, there would be short term recovery, but inflation, rise of interest rate and the last evolve of oil and merchandise bubble demand would worsen the recession.
2. The bubble stock markets of Asia and new emerging countries has peaked in 2007, will be collapsed in 2010.
3. Oil and mechandise will be the last bubble of the prosperity, most probably will be peak in the end of 2009 towards mid of 2010 and lead to next market collapse.
4. the next correction of stock market will be in 2nd half of 2012. Dow Jones would be bottom at 3,800 point.
5. I predict all bubble including Stock, Merchandise, Real Estate would be destroyed, therefore the safest is to have cash holding
6.the recovery will be in end 2010 -2012 and wise for property investment
Let see how accurate of this forecast !
The reason for this economic sharing is very much on the observation of the 3rd qtr 2009 economic slow down in Malaysia.
Year end festive demand supposes to prosper or recover the year long low -demand but seems do not giving any good signal up to today.
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